Why Gavin Sheets may be a key piece in the Padres’ present—and future

Credit: AP Photo

When the San Diego Padres acquired left-handed slugger Gavin Sheets from the Chicago White Sox during the offseason, the move barely registered outside of die-hard roster watchers.
Sheets had long been viewed as a platoon-first, defensively limited power bat who hadn’t yet maximized his offensive potential. But as the 2025 season has unfolded, Sheets has emerged not just as a valuable contributor but as a potential cornerstone bat for a cost-conscious Padres team navigating a tight financial future.
At just $1.6 million in 2025 and under team control through the 2027 season, Sheets’ production has dramatically outpaced his salary. With San Diego’s 2026 payroll already surpassing $188 million, his continued breakout provides the Padres with a rare commodity: a cheap, controllable, and above-average left-handed hitter in a lineup that badly needed one.
A Breakout Season in the Making

Through July 2, Gavin Sheets has appeared in 83 games and compiled a slash line of .261/.319/.454 with 13 home runs and 49 RBIs. His 117 wRC+ puts him comfortably above league average, and his .334 xwOBA suggests his offensive production is supported by sustainable underlying skills. He’s doing this while striking out just 20.8% of the time—an improvement over earlier seasons—and posting a respectable 7.7% walk rate.
Sheets has shown the ability to do damage against right-handers, which the Padres specifically needed when they targeted him. His 2025 numbers indicate he’s driving the ball more consistently to all fields, evidenced by a .194 ISO (isolated slugging) and an improved barrel rate over his previous seasons. His career Statcast metrics also highlight his consistency, with 78th percentile rankings in Hard Hit%, 75th percentile in xSLG, and 80th percentile in Sweet Spot%. He’s not just hot—he’s legit.
Peripheral Metrics Back It Up
Digging into the peripherals, Sheets’ 2025 performance is not an illusion. His average exit velocity of 90.7 mph, 9.3% barrel rate, and 44.2% hard-hit rate all align with the profile of a middle-of-the-order bat. While his launch angle has fluctuated slightly from month to month, his expected slugging (.482) nearly mirrors his actual slugging percentage (.455), and his expected batting average (.261) is spot on. This suggests Sheets isn’t benefitting from unsustainable luck — he’s simply hitting well.
He’s also improved against offspeed and breaking pitches, where he once struggled. According to Statcast, he’s slugging .491 against sliders and .450 against changeups in 2025, compared to .364 and .338, respectively, last season. These gains have helped him stay in the lineup more regularly, even when the platoon advantage isn’t perfect.
How He Compares to Peers
Compared to other left-handed hitting first basemen and designated hitters across MLB, Sheets stacks up surprisingly well. Among lefty first basemen with at least 200 plate appearances, Sheets’ 0.9 WAR ranks just behind Alec Burleson, Christian Yelich, and Colt Keith—all of whom carry higher salaries or more defensive value. In terms of offensive production, his .334 xwOBA and 117 wRC+ place him firmly in the middle of the pack among lefty sluggers like Kyle Schwarber (.415 wOBA, $20M), Ryan O’Hearn (.380 wOBA, $8M), and Rafael Devers (.387 xwOBA, $31.3M).
Sheets also ranks 9th among left-handed hitting left fielders/DHs in WAR—just behind players like Jarren Duran and Lars Nootbaar, and ahead of bigger names like Max Kepler, Michael Conforto, and Alex Verdugo. Most importantly, his production is comparable to peers earning three to 20 times his current salary. For example:
Jarren Duran (0.9 WAR, $3.85M)
Cody Bellinger (2.1 WAR, $27.5M)
Lars Nootbaar (0.9 WAR, $2.95M)
Michael Conforto (-0.7 WAR, $17.5M)
Andrew Benintendi (0.2 WAR, $17.1M)
None of these players offer the combination of cost efficiency, age (Sheets turns 29 in September), and performance upside that Sheets does.

Value Within the Padres’ Financial Context
This is where Gavin Sheets’ value truly becomes magnified. The Padres have already committed over $188 million to the 2026 payroll, led by long-term deals for Manny Machado, Xander Bogaerts, Fernando Tatis Jr., Joe Musgrove, and Yu Darvish. With that much money locked in—and the luxury tax threshold currently set at $237 million—the team’s flexibility for acquiring more expensive veteran hitters is extremely limited.
Sheets offers a perfect counterbalance to the club’s large contracts. His projected arbitration raises in 2026 and 2027 could push his salary into the $3–$6 million range, but even at that number, he’d remain one of the most cost-effective producers in the league. For a team with multiple high-AAV veterans and uncertain returns from pitchers like Musgrove, Darvish, and Michael King (also under contract in 2026), the emergence of productive, low-cost bats is essential.
Room for Growth
At 28 years old, Sheets is not a finished product—and that’s a good thing. While his defense at both first base and corner outfield remains below average (–5.6 Def rating), he has shown enough positional versatility to stay in the lineup consistently. Defensively, he remains a liability whether playing first base or in the outfield, posting a –5.6 defensive rating according to Fangraphs. Improved footwork and positioning could help minimize his negative impact, particularly in left field, where his reads and range remain limited.
Offensively, there’s room for even more. Sheets’ production against left-handed pitching (.192 AVG, .582 OPS in limited at-bats) suggests he may still be best suited to a strong-side platoon role. Reducing his groundball rate—currently over 45%—could also unlock more power, especially if he continues refining his swing path to better elevate fastballs. His .292 BABIP suggests a sustainable average, and he’s improved his approach against high-velocity fastballs, once a major hole in his swing path. He’s also been slightly unlucky with runners in scoring position, where his wOBA is lower than his expected outcomes, suggesting even more RBI production could be on the way. Given his age and the tools at his disposal, these aren’t insurmountable hurdles. With targeted development and consistent playing time, Sheets has room to become an even more complete offensive asset.
Outlook Beyond 2025
With two years of team control remaining and a proven ability to mash right-handers, Gavin Sheets fits perfectly into the Padres’ future plans. He doesn’t require a long-term extension at this time, nor does he clog up payroll space that could be used to reinforce the rotation or bullpen. Instead, he offers production without pressure, giving President of Baseball Operations A.J. Preller and the front office one less offensive hole to fill going forward.
While much of the attention this season has centered around Tatis Jr., Merrill, and the pitching injuries, Sheets has quietly solidified his role as an everyday contributor. And in a competitive NL West where every dollar matters, his presence on the roster could make the difference between roster balance and financial strain.
Final Thoughts
Gavin Sheets has not just revived his career in San Diego, he’s becoming a critical part of the club’s competitive window. With team control through 2027, age still on his side, and Statcast metrics suggesting his performance is real, the Padres have every reason to lean into this breakout.
He’s not just a platoon bat anymore. He’s a stabilizer—and maybe more.

J.J. Rodriguez is a passionate sports writer making his debut with East Village Times. Born and raised in Southwest Florida, he is a father of four and an eight-year U.S. Marine Corps veteran who has lived in Southern California since 1996. A devoted fan of the San Diego Padres, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and Florida Gators, J.J. brings a lifetime of sports enthusiasm to his writing. He’s currently pursuing a degree in elementary education and enjoys life as an empty-nester with his wife of 19 years, Lisa.